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Bank of Canada offers explanations for country91Ƶs 91Ƶpuzzling91Ƶ wage disappointment

Technological advances have lowered demand for routine jobs, reduced competition
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A senior Bank of Canada official offered explanations Thursday for the country91Ƶs 91Ƶpuzzling91Ƶ and disappointing stretch of wage gains, even though job market been experiencing one of its biggest labour shortages in years.

In a Toronto speech, senior deputy governor Carolyn Wilkins said weaker wage growth in energy-producing provinces since the 2014 oil-price slump has dragged down national numbers.

But she said even after accounting for these factors, wages have fallen short of where they should be in a tightened job market that has seen Canada91Ƶs unemployment rate drop to a 43-year low.

91ƵThis is particularly puzzling when you consider what businesses are telling us about how hard it is to fill jobs,91Ƶ Wilkins told the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

91ƵAs far as I can tell, no one has found a smoking gun,91Ƶ she said of the search for an explanation.

91ƵBut there are at least a couple of compelling suspects.91Ƶ

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Wilkins said wages are also likely lower than expected as employers struggle to find candidates with the right skills, cautious employees decline to trade up for higher-paying positions elsewhere and people are reluctant to move to a new city in order to land a new gig.

Structural factors, she added, may also be weighing on wages 91Ƶ such as technological advances that have lowered demand for routine jobs, reduced competition in some industries and the emergence of the so-called gig economy that has taken away bargaining power for some workers.

Wilkins offered potential areas for policy-makers and businesses to focus on to help improve the job market. They could invest in education and training, find ways to encourage labour mobility and increase the competitiveness of Canadian firms.

She noted the results of the bank91Ƶs latest business outlook survey suggested labour shortages were at one of their highest levels since the Great Recession a decade ago. Job vacancies, she added, are still rising in Canada and now total about 550,000.

In the months ahead, Wilkins said the central bank predicts Canada91Ƶs economic expansion to pick up its pace after a recent slow patch 91Ƶ and she anticipates wage growth will eventually accelerate along with it.

Andy Blatchford, The Canadian Press

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