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Key interest rate could soon go up another half point, central bank says

91ƵThe economy needs higher rates and can handle them91Ƶ
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Governor of the Bank of Canada, Tiff Macklem, and Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers appear before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance, in Ottawa on Monday, April 25, 2022. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Sean Kilpatrick

Canada91Ƶs key interest rate could go up another half percentage point in June to help wrestle inflation under control, Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem signalled Monday.

91ƵInflation is too high. It is higher than we expected,91Ƶ Macklem told the House of Commons standing committee on finance. 91ƵAnd it91Ƶs going to be elevated for longer than we previously thought.91Ƶ

Two weeks ago the central bank raised its key interest rate a half point to one per cent and warned more rate hikes would be coming as it works toward an inflation target of two per cent.

Macklem said that in looking ahead to its next decisions, 91Ƶwe will be considering taking another 50-basis-point step.91Ƶ

91ƵThe economy needs higher rates and can handle them,91Ƶ he said. 91ƵWith demand starting to run ahead of the economy91Ƶs capacity, we need higher rates to bring the economy into balance and cool domestic inflation.91Ƶ

Canada91Ƶs inflation rate hit a three-decade high of 6.7 per cent in March, well above what the central bank projected in its January monetary policy report.

Russia91Ƶs invasion of Ukraine has driven up the cost of energy and other commodities, and is further disrupting global supply chains, but there is also domestic pressure on prices, Macklem said.

The central bank foresees inflation averaging almost six per cent in the first half of this year and remaining elevated for the remainder of 2022, then easing in the second half of next year before returning to the two-per-cent target in 2024.

Inflation at five per cent for a year, or three percentage points above the bank91Ƶs target, costs the average Canadian an additional $2,000, Macklem said.

91ƵAnd it91Ƶs affecting more vulnerable members of society the most because they spend all their income and because prices of essential items like food and energy have risen sharply,91Ƶ he said.

91ƵWe are committed to using our policy interest rate to return inflation to target and we will do so forcefully if needed.91Ƶ

Macklem acknowledged that seeing mortgage payments and other borrowing costs increase as a result can be worrying for Canadians.

91ƵWe will be assessing the impacts of higher interest rates on the economy carefully,91Ƶ he said.

People should expect rates to rise toward a range the central bank considers 91Ƶa neutral interest rate that neither stimulates nor weighs on the economy,91Ƶ which the bank estimates to be between two and three per cent, he added.

91ƵThe Canadian Press





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