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91ƵWicked91Ƶ tops SAG Awards nominations as many big names are snubbed

Screen Actors Guild selections often serve as the best predictor for the Oscars
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FILE - A general view of the carpet at the 30th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, Feb. 24, 2024, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles. (Photo by Jordan Strauss/Invision/AP, File)

topped nominations to the on Wednesday, landing a leading five nominations including best ensemble, and individual nods for Cynthia Erivo, Ariana Grande and Jonathan Bailey.

Out-of-control and Southern California on Tuesday night forced the Screen Actors Guild to cancel its plans to announce the nominations live Wednesday morning. The nominations were instead issued by press release by SAG, which last year began a multiyear deal with Netflix to stream the awards.

The smash hit musical 91ƵW91Ƶ saw its Oscar chances rise with the nominations to the SAG Awards, one of the most predictive Academy Awards bellwethers. The movie91Ƶs big morning 91Ƶ it even scored a nod for stunt ensemble 91Ƶ came after a celebratory night, too. The film in New York on Tuesday.

The other nominees for best ensemble are 91ƵAnora,91Ƶ 91ƵConclave,91Ƶ 91ƵEmilia Pérez91Ƶ and 91ƵA Complete Unknown.91Ƶ

It was an especially strong showing for the Bob Dylan drama It came away with four nominations, including Timothée Chalamet for best male actor, and supporting nods for both Edward Norton and Monica Barbaro.

The best male lead nominees were largely as expected: Adrien Brody (91ƵThe Brutalist91Ƶ), Daniel Craig (91ƵQueer91Ƶ), Colman Domingo (91ƵSing Sing91Ƶ), Ralph Fiennes (91ƵConclave91Ƶ) and Chalamet.

Coming off her rousing victory at the Golden Globes, Demi Moore was among the nominees for best female actor in a leading role for 91ƵThe Substance.91Ƶ She was joined by Erivo, 91ƵEmilia Pérez91Ƶ breakout , Mikey Madison of 91ƵAnora91Ƶ and Pamela Anderson for

Snubbed stars

That surprisingly left out some big names. missed out, as did Nicole Kidman (91ƵBabygirl91Ƶ). A few of the most acclaimed female actors of the year, Marianne Jean-Baptiste (91ƵHard Truths91Ƶ) and Globe winner Fernanda Torres (91ƵI91Ƶm Still Here91Ƶ), also were overlooked.

91ƵThe Last Showgirl91Ƶ had more to celebrate, too, with an unexpected nomination for Jamie Lee Curtis in supporting female actor. Her fellow nominees are Barbaro, Grande, (91ƵThe Piano Lesson91Ƶ) and Zoe Saldaña (91ƵEmilia Perez91Ƶ).

Jeremy Strong was nominated for his supporting performance as Roy Cohn in but his co-star, Sebastian Stan, went unnominated for both 91ƵThe Apprentice91Ƶ and his Golden Globe-winning role in The other nominees for best supporting male actor were Bailey, Norton, Yura Borisov (91ƵAnora91Ƶ) and the category frontrunner, (91ƵA Real Pain91Ƶ).

A few widely forecast supporting performances were snubbed there, too, including Denzel Washington (91ƵGladiator II91Ƶ) and Guy Pearce (91ƵThe Brutalist91Ƶ).

Predictive power of the SAGs

The SAG Awards are arguably the most telling Oscar forecast there is. Their picks don91Ƶt always align exactly with those of the film academy, but they often come very close to mirroring them.

The last three best ensemble winners 91Ƶ 91ƵOppenheimer,91Ƶ 91ƵEverything Everywhere All at Once91Ƶ and 91ƵCODA91Ƶ 91Ƶ all went on to win best picture at the Academy Awards. All but one of the SAG acting winners of the last three years has also won at the Oscars. The sole exception was who won SAG91Ƶs award for female actor last year for 91ƵKillers of the Flower Moon,91Ƶ but the Oscar trophy went to Emma Stone (91ƵPoor Things91Ƶ).

In all likelihood, the Oscar field will look a lot like the SAG nominees. While some overlooked performances might still land an Oscar nomination, any eventual Academy Award winner, including the best picture recipient, is almost surely coming from those nominated Wednesday.

That91Ƶs bad news for which but missed out on a SAG ensemble nomination. Best picture contender 91ƵSing Sing91Ƶ also came away with a single SAG nod.

In nominations also announced Wednesday, the Directors Guild favored most of the same films. For outstanding directorial achievement, it nominated Sean Baker (91ƵAnora91Ƶ), Jacques Audiard (91ƵEmilia Pérez91Ƶ), Edward Berger (91ƵConclave91Ƶ), James Mangold (91ƵA Complete Unknown91Ƶ) and Corbet (91ƵThe Brutalist91Ƶ). That left out 91ƵW91Ƶ filmmaker Jon M. Chu, as well as 91ƵDune: Part Two91Ƶ director Denis Villeneuve. The guild also failed to nominate a female filmmaker, like 91ƵThe Substance91Ƶ director Coralie Fargeat.

Those nominations only further muddied the waters in a hard-to-predict best picture race. Rarely does a film win the Academy Awards91Ƶ top prize without a DGA nomination. The only exceptions in recent history are 91ƵDriving Miss Daisy91Ƶ (1989) and 91ƵCODA91Ƶ (2022). That means that as well as 91ƵW91Ƶ did with the screen actors, it still can91Ƶt be called an Oscar favorite.

91ƵShōgun91Ƶ continues to dominate

Coming off sweeps at the Emmys and FX91Ƶs 91ƵShōgun91Ƶ continued to run roughshod through the competition, landing a leading five nominations Wednesday, including best ensemble and individual nods for Hiroyuki Sanada, Anna Sawai and Tadanobu Asano.

Also faring well were 91ƵThe Bear91Ƶ (nominations for Jeremy Allen White, and Liza Colón-Zayas), 91ƵHacks91Ƶ (Jean Smart) and 91ƵThe Diplomat91Ƶ (Keri Russell, Allison Janney).

The Screen Actors Guild Awards will be held Feb. 23 at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles. The ceremony, hosted by Kristen Bell, will be streamed live on Netflix. In addition to the competitive awards, Jane Fonda will be presented with the guild91Ƶs Life Achievement Award.





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