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Alberta91裸聊视频檚 population growth is breaking records. Signs of strain are showing

The equivalent of 550 people moved to the province every day in 2023
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Crowds walk through the concourse before the start of a Calgary Flames game in Calgary, Saturday, April 6, 2024.THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jeff McIntosh

At Calgary91裸聊视频檚 Centre for Newcomers, where Kelly Ernst is chief program officer, staff have been 91裸聊视频 in Ernst91裸聊视频檚 words 91裸聊视频 91裸聊视频渞un off their feet.91裸聊视频

The non-profit organization, which offers services and language training to immigrants and refugees in Alberta91裸聊视频檚 largest city, served an eye-popping 50,000 clients last year. It was a dramatic increase from the prior year,and also a huge uptick from pre-pandemic times.

91裸聊视频淭hese numbers are more than 100 per cent greater than the previous year, and triple five years ago,91裸聊视频 Ernst said.

91裸聊视频淔or some services, the numbers are up over 400 per cent over two years.91裸聊视频

The surge in demand for newcomer services in Calgary is a reflection of Alberta91裸聊视频檚 record-breaking population growth, which has come with both pros and cons.

In 2023, the western province saw its population surge by 202,324 residents to 4.8 million, according to Statistics Canada.

That91裸聊视频檚 the largest annual increase in Alberta91裸聊视频檚 history, the equivalent of 550 people moving to the province every day. While the bulk of the growth came from international migration, reflecting a Canada-wide trend, Alberta also shattered a national record in 2023 for interprovincial migration with a net gain of 55,107 people, the highest ever recorded by any province.

Most of these interprovincial migrants came from Ontario and British Columbia. Statistics Canada estimates that 38,236 Ontarians moved to Alberta last year, for example, versus just 14,860 Albertans who moved to Ontario.

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Alberta has always been a place with periods of sudden, dramatic population growth. The province91裸聊视频檚 oil and gas-based economy has attracted waves of job-seekers during historical times of high commodity prices and busy oilpatch activity.

But what is happening right now in Alberta is different than in the past, said Mark Parsons, chief economist for ATB Financial.

91裸聊视频淎lberta91裸聊视频檚 is a relatively strong economy, so the fast rate of job growth is contributing to the influx of people coming into the province, no question,91裸聊视频 Parsons said.

91裸聊视频淲hat91裸聊视频檚 different this time is that affordability is playing an important role 91裸聊视频 particularly housing affordability.91裸聊视频

Experts say Canada91裸聊视频檚 housing crisis, and the affordability of the Alberta real estate market compared with places like Toronto and Vancouver, is one of the reasons the province has been the destination for so many U-Hauls and moving trucks.

In fact, housing affordability was one of the carrots the Alberta government dangled with its 91裸聊视频淎lberta is Calling91裸聊视频 ad campaign, which ran in the spring of 2023 in southern Ontario and Atlantic Canada. The campaign urged Canadians who can91裸聊视频檛 afford a home where they live to consider moving to Alberta, with its comparatively high salaries and lower real estate prices.

While the campaign was a smashing success from a marketing perspective, Alberta91裸聊视频檚 population boom has downsides. The sharp uptick in residents has helped drive economic growth, supporting retail and restaurant sales in the province and leading to a flurry of construction activity, but it has also made Alberta91裸聊视频檚 famously affordable real estate less affordable.

91裸聊视频淚n 2022, it felt like everyone was saying, 91裸聊视频楢lberta91裸聊视频檚 on sale, this is great, this is amazing,91裸聊视频91裸聊视频 said Calgary real estate agent Dawn Herron Maser.

91裸聊视频淏ut now people who are from here are starting to feel like, 91裸聊视频業s it really that much on sale anymore? Because we91裸聊视频檙e here in Alberta and we91裸聊视频檙e struggling. We91裸聊视频檙e struggling to buy our homes here.91裸聊视频91裸聊视频

In Calgary, the benchmark home price in March was $597,600, nearly 11 per cent higher than the previous year, according to the Calgary Real Estate Board. Anecdotes abound of wild bidding wars between buyers willing to waive all conditions and offer tens of thousands more than the asking price, a phenomenon that has become prevalent in hot markets like Toronto and Vancouver.

Calgary and Edmonton also saw the sharpest acceleration in rent prices among major Canadian cities in 2023. In Calgary specifically, the average rent for a two-bedroom apartment in 2023 jumped 14.3 per cent, the highest year-over-year growth in the country and the sharpest single-year rise in rent growth the city has seen since 2007, data from CMHC shows.

Adam Legge, president of the Business Council of Alberta, said new homes are simply not being built fast enough to keep up with the province91裸聊视频檚 growth. And there are other signs of strain showing as well. New arrivals to Alberta are struggling to find family doctors, and unprecedented school enrolment growth has led to overcrowded classrooms.

There is also a shortage of construction workers, welders and all of the other skilled tradespeople needed to build everything from houses to schools to roads as quickly as possible.

91裸聊视频淲e just aren91裸聊视频檛 seeing a sufficient inflow of new Albertans, either interprovincially or internationally coming with those kinds of skills and credentials,91裸聊视频 Legge said.

While the pace of population growth in Alberta is expected to moderate this year and in 2025, ATB Financial predicts it will still be strong compared to most other parts of Canada and developed economies around the world.

In the long term, sustained growth is likely. The province91裸聊视频檚 economy is diversifying, creating opportunities for workers in non-oil and gas-related fields such as technology and aviation, and the proximity of the Rocky Mountains and some of Canada91裸聊视频檚 best-loved national parks continue to be a draw for tourists.

The Alberta government91裸聊视频檚 own projections call for the province91裸聊视频檚 population to hit six million people as early as 2039.

91裸聊视频淲e really need to start looking at Alberta, and the West in general, in a different way,91裸聊视频 said Ernst, with the Centre for Newcomers, adding both provincial and federal governments need to prepare for the growth that is coming by investing in housing, infrastructure, programs and education.

91裸聊视频淲e91裸聊视频檝e got to really think critically about the allocation of resources in this country 91裸聊视频 really understanding where people are moving, where people are setting up, where some of the population pressures are.91裸聊视频

Legge agreed, adding it91裸聊视频檚 vital Alberta prepare for its future by addressing areas that are already under strain due to the province91裸聊视频檚 rapid growth.

91裸聊视频淭he message 91裸聊视频楢lberta is Calling91裸聊视频 is clearly working, which is a great thing in the sense of growth for the province and the people who are bringing their skills and talents and passions and entrepreneurship here,91裸聊视频 he said.

91裸聊视频淲e91裸聊视频檝e just got to make sure that we don91裸聊视频檛 become victims of our own success, and tackle some of the challenges that are already putting strain on our quality of life.91裸聊视频

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Amanda Stephenson, The Canadian Press





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