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Reduced demand expected to slow rent inflation over next few years

Desjardins predicts B.C. will be slower to see effects of reduced immigration
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A for rent sign outside a home in Toronto on Tuesday July 12, 2022. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Cole Burston

The rate at which Canadian rental prices are increasing should slow in the coming years as the government91裸聊视频檚 plan to cut back immigration numbers takes hold, a new report from from a prominent financial service says.

91裸聊视频淥ur outlook is for a slowdown in the pace of rent inflation over the next few years, in line with a rising unemployment rate and weaker population growth,91裸聊视频 Desjardins predicted.

Rents have been rising fast and rent inflation is 91裸聊视频渕uch higher91裸聊视频 than increases in the price of owned homes, it said. Inflation of rented accommodation was 8.3 per cent in the third quarter of this year, 91裸聊视频渢he fastest pace since the early 1980s.91裸聊视频

Last month, the federal government announced plans to slash Canada91裸聊视频檚 immigration targets by 20 per cent as the government faced increased pressure to address the cost and availability of housing.

Ottawa is also aiming to reduce the proportion of temporary residents, which includes temporary foreign workers and international students.

The Desjardins report noted that non-permanent residents 91裸聊视频渁re more likely to rent than purchase a home due to the temporary or uncertain nature of their stay in Canada.91裸聊视频 Many permanent residents also rent once they arrive in Canada, it noted.

91裸聊视频淟owering the number of newcomers should halt or possibly even reverse Canada91裸聊视频檚 population growth, slowing demand for rental accommodation,91裸聊视频 the report said.

But while Desjardins expects rent inflation to slow, it said there is uncertainty around how the federal government will implement its new immigration policies.

91裸聊视频淚f the population slows faster than anticipated, the demand for rental accommodation will slow and price pressures will ease,91裸聊视频 it said.

On the other hand, higher-than-anticipated population growth that are more in line with the Bank of Canada91裸聊视频檚 recent outlook wouldl put more sustained pressure on rent prices, the report said.

The effects will also vary by region, the report says. Rent inflation in provinces like British Columbia and Ontario will increase more slowly. And while rent inflation is expected to come down in all major cities, it will 91裸聊视频渆ase more91裸聊视频 in Calgary and Edmonton, Desjardins said.

91裸聊视频淎lberta and Saskatchewan should see rents slow the fastest given the highly cyclical nature of the economy and rental market in those provinces. In contrast, still-elevated rent inflation is expected in Quebec,91裸聊视频 it predicted.

Desjardins noted that across the country, the number of households that rent has 91裸聊视频渞isen dramatically,91裸聊视频 meaning 91裸聊视频渞apidly rising rents impact a large and growing share of households across the country.91裸聊视频

It also warned any improvements may be temporary, with 91裸聊视频渓onger-term solutions requiring substantial increases in housing supply and policy efforts to address affordability across both rental and ownership sectors.91裸聊视频





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