The B.C. government91Ƶs latest adjustment of speed limits on rural highways is a case study in how modern politics and media run over the facts and leave them on the side of the road.
You may have heard that in early November, speed limit increases were rolled back on 14 of the 33 segments of rural B.C. highway where they were increased by 10 km/h in 2014. You probably didn91Ƶt hear that 16 other sections were left as is, because the accident rate didn91Ƶt go up with increased limits.
In some cases, speed measurement showed the higher speed limit resulted in average travel speed, and accidents, going down. Across the province, exceeding the posted speed limit was determined by police to be an insignificant factor in collisions.
For all segments with increased speed limits, the biggest factor by far in three years of police collision reports is 91Ƶdriver inattentive91Ƶ at 25 per cent. That91Ƶs followed by 91Ƶroad conditions91Ƶ (15 per cent), 91Ƶdriving too fast for conditions91Ƶ (13 per cent), 91Ƶfell asleep91Ƶ (five per cent) and 91Ƶwild animal91Ƶ (four per cent). Exceeding the posted speed limit was tied with impaired driving at two per cent each.
These are the facts that weren91Ƶt allowed to get in the way of a juicy political story.
Transportation Minister Claire Trevena mostly stuck to her script, but savoured her days as an opposition critic, attacking then-minister Todd Stone for his allegedly irresponsible decision to increase speed limits. Trevena allowed that it was 91Ƶshocking91Ƶ that accidents increased by 17 per year on her home stretch of highway, from Parksville to Campbell River, after not changing at all the first year after the increase.
And sure enough, it was Stone who faced a wall of TV cameras and demands that he explain how he could be so reckless as to increase speed limits.
I91Ƶm guilty of feeding this narrative too. It was I who in 2014 revealed that 91ƵHot Rod Todd,91Ƶ as he was known, once got (gasp) a speeding ticket on the Coquihalla! That91Ƶs why the speed limit for the Coquihalla was raised to the unprecedented 120 km/h, so the minister could blast back and forth to his Kamloops home!
The story practically writes itself, but like most coffee shop wisdom, it91Ƶs bunk. As it turns out, the Coquihalla speed limit stays at 120. As Stone pointed out, it remains among the safest highways in the province.
One obvious factor in this three-year period is the winter of 2016-17, the coldest on record for Metro Vancouver and large parts of southern B.C. And last winter featured heavy snow.
Harsh winter weather may explain why drivers slowed down on some stretches of road where speed limits had been increased. Anyone with highway driving experience knows that whatever the posted limit, the majority of responsible drivers choose how fast they will go.
Transportation ministry engineers use a measure called 91Ƶ85th percentile speeds,91Ƶ which they define as 91Ƶa representation of the speed at which reasonable and prudent drivers choose to travel.91Ƶ
It91Ƶs important to understand this, as the province and its taxpayers wrestle with the soaring costs of accidents and ICBC claims. Calling the corporation91Ƶs financial situation a 91Ƶdumpster fire91Ƶ over and over again is easy for reporters, and great politics for Attorney General David Eby, but it doesn91Ƶt get anyone closer to solutions.
Our highways are safer, vehicles are safer, driver training is more rigorous, and yet costly accidents continue to increase.
Tom Fletcher is B.C. legislature reporter and columnist for Black Press Media. Email: tfletcher@blackpress.ca
2/2: ... and here are the roads where increasing speed limits correlates with fewer collisions, and speed limits are being left as they are
91Ƶ Tom Fletcher (@tomfletcherbc)
tfletcher@blackpress.ca
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