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Untruthful tech: Chatbots prone to making things up

Not everyone thinks AI91裸聊视频檚 hallucination problem is fixable

Spend enough time with ChatGPT and other artificial intelligence chatbots and it doesn91裸聊视频檛 take long for them to .

Described as hallucination, confabulation or just plain making things up, it91裸聊视频檚 now a problem for every business, organization and high school student trying to get a generative AI system to compose documents and get work done. Some are using it on tasks with the potential for high-stakes consequences, from psychotherapy to researching and .

91裸聊视频淚 don91裸聊视频檛 think that there91裸聊视频檚 any model today that doesn91裸聊视频檛 suffer from some hallucination,91裸聊视频 said Daniela Amodei, co-founder and president of Anthropic, maker of the chatbot Claude 2.

91裸聊视频淭hey91裸聊视频檙e really just sort of designed to predict the next word,91裸聊视频 Amodei said. 91裸聊视频淎nd so there will be some rate at which the model does that inaccurately.91裸聊视频

Anthropic, ChatGPT-maker OpenAI and other major developers of AI systems known as large language models say they91裸聊视频檙e working to make them more truthful.

How long that will take 91裸聊视频 and whether they will ever be good enough to, say, safely dole out medical advice 91裸聊视频 remains to be seen.

91裸聊视频淭his isn91裸聊视频檛 fixable,91裸聊视频 said Emily Bender, a linguistics professor and director of the University of Washington91裸聊视频檚 Computational Linguistics Laboratory. 91裸聊视频淚t91裸聊视频檚 inherent in the mismatch between the technology and the proposed use cases.91裸聊视频

A lot is riding on the reliability of generative . The McKinsey Global Institute projects it will add the equivalent of $2.6 trillion to $4.4 trillion to the global economy. Chatbots are only one part of that frenzy, which also includes technology that can generate new images, video, music and computer code. Nearly all of the tools include some language component.

Google is already product to news organizations, for which accuracy is paramount. The Associated Press is also exploring use of the technology as part of , which is paying to use part of AP91裸聊视频檚 text archive to improve its AI systems.

In partnership with India91裸聊视频檚 hotel management institutes, computer scientist Ganesh Bagler has been working for years to get AI systems, including a precursor, to invent recipes for South Asian cuisines, such as novel versions of rice-based biryani. A single 91裸聊视频渉allucinated91裸聊视频 ingredient could be the difference between a tasty and inedible meal.

When , visited India in June, the professor at the Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology Delhi had some pointed questions.

91裸聊视频淚 guess hallucinations in ChatGPT are still acceptable, but when a recipe comes out hallucinating, it becomes a serious problem,91裸聊视频 Bagler said, standing up in a crowded campus auditorium to address Altman on the New Delhi stop of the U.S. tech executive91裸聊视频檚 .

91裸聊视频淲hat91裸聊视频檚 your take on it?91裸聊视频 Bagler eventually asked.

Altman expressed optimism, if not an outright commitment.

91裸聊视频淚 think we will get the hallucination problem to a much, much better place,91裸聊视频 Altman said. 91裸聊视频淚 think it will take us a year and a half, two years. Something like that. But at that point we won91裸聊视频檛 still talk about these. There91裸聊视频檚 a balance between creativity and perfect accuracy, and the model will need to learn when you want one or the other.91裸聊视频

But for some experts who have studied the technology, such as University of Washington linguist Bender, those improvements won91裸聊视频檛 be enough.

Bender describes a language model as a system for 91裸聊视频渕odeling the likelihood of different strings of word forms,91裸聊视频 given some written data it91裸聊视频檚 been trained upon.

It91裸聊视频檚 how spell checkers are able to detect when you91裸聊视频檝e typed the wrong word. It also helps power automatic translation and transcription services, 91裸聊视频渟moothing the output to look more like typical text in the target language,91裸聊视频 Bender said. Many people rely on a version of this technology whenever they use the 91裸聊视频渁utocomplete91裸聊视频 feature when composing text messages or emails.

The latest crop of chatbots such as ChatGPT, Claude 2 or try to take that to the next level, by generating entire new passages of text, but Bender said they91裸聊视频檙e still just repeatedly selecting the most plausible next word in a string.

When used to generate text, language models 91裸聊视频渁re designed to make things up. That91裸聊视频檚 all they do,91裸聊视频 Bender said. They are good at mimicking forms of writing, such as legal contracts, or sonnets.

91裸聊视频淏ut since they only ever make things up, when the text they have extruded happens to be interpretable as something we deem correct, that is by chance,91裸聊视频 Bender said. 91裸聊视频淓ven if they can be tuned to be right more of the time, they will still have failure modes 91裸聊视频 and likely the failures will be in the cases where it91裸聊视频檚 harder for a person reading the text to notice, because they are more obscure.91裸聊视频

Those errors are not a huge problem for the marketing firms that have been turning to Jasper AI for help writing pitches, said the company91裸聊视频檚 president, Shane Orlick.

91裸聊视频淗allucinations are actually an added bonus,91裸聊视频 Orlick said. 91裸聊视频淲e have customers all the time that tell us how it came up with ideas 91裸聊视频 how Jasper created takes on stories or angles that they would have never thought of themselves.91裸聊视频

The Texas-based startup works with partners like OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Facebook parent Meta to offer its customers a smorgasbord of AI language models tailored to their needs. For someone concerned about accuracy, it might offer up Anthropic91裸聊视频檚 model, while someone concerned with the security of their proprietary source data might get a different model, Orlick said.

Orlick said he knows hallucinations won91裸聊视频檛 be easily fixed. He91裸聊视频檚 counting on companies like Google, which he says must have a 91裸聊视频渞eally high standard of factual content91裸聊视频 for its search engine, to and resources into solutions.

91裸聊视频淚 think they have to fix this problem,91裸聊视频 Orlick said. 91裸聊视频淭hey91裸聊视频檝e got to address this. So I don91裸聊视频檛 know if it91裸聊视频檚 ever going to be perfect, but it91裸聊视频檒l probably just continue to get better and better over time.91裸聊视频

Techno-optimists, including Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates, have been forecasting a rosy outlook.

91裸聊视频淚91裸聊视频檓 optimistic that, over time, AI models can be taught to distinguish fact from fiction,91裸聊视频 Gates said in a July blog post detailing his thoughts on AI91裸聊视频檚 societal risks.

He cited a 2022 paper from OpenAI as an example of 91裸聊视频減romising work on this front.91裸聊视频

But even Altman, as he markets the products for a variety of uses, doesn91裸聊视频檛 count on the models to be truthful when he91裸聊视频檚 looking for information for himself.

91裸聊视频淚 probably trust the answers that come out of ChatGPT the least of anybody on Earth,91裸聊视频 Altman told the crowd at Bagler91裸聊视频檚 university, to laughter.

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