With strong control measures, the federal public health agency projects that 11,000 to 22,000 Canadians could die of COVID-19 in the coming months.
In a report released Thursday, (April 9) Public Health Agency of Canada said short-term estimates are more reliable, and it anticipates 500 to 700 deaths by the end of next week.
The agency released modelling data this morning with different possible scenarios, warning that what happens depends very much on how Canadians behave to keep the respiratory illness from spreading.
With poor containment measures, the death toll could be much, much higher, the agency said.
It says the COVID-19 battle in Canada is still in its early stages but Canada91裸聊视频檚 numbers of confirmed cases have been increasing more slowly than in other countries.
The agency the fight against the novel coronavirus will likely take many months and require cycles of tighter and weaker controls.
Later on Thursday (April 9), Chief medical officer Dr. TheresaTam said the 91裸聊视频渁spirational and our ambitious goal91裸聊视频� was that just one per cent of the population is infected with COVID-19. With a population of 37.6 million, that would mean about 376,000 people would be infected.
Tam said there were 17,766 total confirmed cases of the virus and 461 deaths as of Thursday morning.
91裸聊视频淚 recognize the changes in our daily lives91裸聊视频� are extremely difficult,91裸聊视频� Tam said during a press conference in Ottawa.
She said the measures have so far 91裸聊视频渁llowed the healthcare system to cope.91裸聊视频�
She called on Canadians to make the upcoming long weekend a 91裸聊视频渟taycation for the nation,91裸聊视频� and stay home to celebrate with their household, or virtually with other friends and family.
Tam said health officials were evaluating the effect of measures like physical distancing and self-isolation daily.
91裸聊视频淣o one is gathering, really91裸聊视频� we91裸聊视频檙e just trying to strengthen the message to Canadians that you should avoid all non-essential travel and stay at home as much as possible,91裸聊视频� she said.
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