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91ƵTenaciousness of winter:91Ƶ Weather Network forecasts a delayed spring

Above-normal precipitation across Canada may help delay fire season in the west
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A pedestrian makes their way through a snowstorm in Halifax on Tuesday, January 31, 2023. A top meteorologist says a Canadian winter that lacked commitment earlier in the season is expected to finish strong before spring91Ƶs sluggish arrival. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darren Calabrese

A winter season that lacked commitment in its early days is likely to finish strong before spring91Ƶs sluggish arrival, according to predictions from a prominent forecaster.

The Weather Network said a warm jet stream resulted in above-average winter temperatures for most of Canada, but it expects that trend to change in the season91Ƶs final stretch.

Chief Meteorologist Chris Scott acknowledged the predictions contained in the network91Ƶs spring outlook probably aren91Ƶt what most Canadians want to hear.

91ƵThere were periods this winter where it was wild and people were throwing the baseball around in early February 91Ƶ so Canadians might be a bit surprised at the tenaciousness of winter,91Ƶ he said in a phone interview.

91ƵWe91Ƶve got, frankly, more than a month before we can really start to talk about consistent warmth.91Ƶ

But Scott added it91Ƶs not all bad news, noting spring temperatures are forecast to be warmer than normal when they finally do set in.

And since the winter lacked heavy snowpacks, Scott said areas that typically flood will see less water overflow at the start of spring, and an active storm track that may bring above-normal precipitation across Canada will help delay fire season in the west.

The west coast and the Prairies may also see an extended ski season because of the cool, wet start to the spring, he added.

Some southern parts of Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba 91Ƶcould look and feel wintrier than what we saw during the heart of winter91Ƶ because of the above-normal precipitation in those regions, Scott said.

The weather outlook predicts similar conditions will persist in Ontario and Quebec. Periods of colder than normal temperatures and messy winter storms are predicted for March and even parts of April.

The prolonged winter trend is expected to hold true for provinces farther east as well, Scott said.

91ƵSome places in eastern Canada may see more winter weather in the next few weeks strung together than we91Ƶve seen all winter long,91Ƶ he said.

But Scott forecast temperatures will end up 91Ƶwarmer than normal91Ƶ in Atlantic Canada as the spring season progresses.

Conditions in northern Canada are on tap to be a bit of a mixed bag, Scott said, noting the forecast calls for precipitation levels to be near seasonal norms across the region.

Spring temperatures, however, are expected to be below average in southern Yukon and Northwest Territories, while areas around Baffin Island and parts of Hudson Bay are predicted to see conditions that are warmer than normal.

Scott credits a warm jet stream from the coast of South America for the largely mild winter, noting such conditions are increasingly likely to reoccur.

91ƵWe can tell you that the odds of seeing this type of a winter are increasing because there91Ƶs just more warmth in the global weather pattern,91Ƶ he said.

91ƵThere91Ƶs more opportunity that when it gets warm, it gets really warm. This does feel like a great example of where we are with our climate now versus maybe 40, 50 years ago. It91Ƶs much harder to get winters that are more consistently cold across Canada.91Ƶ

91ƵFakiha Baig, The Canadian Press





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