Over the past three years, the world91裸聊视频檚 oldest democracy has been tested in ways not seen in decades.
A sitting president tried to overturn an election and his supporters to stop the winner from taking power. Supporters of that attack launched a campaign against , chasing out and pushing conservative states to pass making it harder to vote.
At the same time, the past three years proved that was resilient.
Former President Donald Trump91裸聊视频檚 attempts to overturn the 2020 election results failed, blocked by the constitutional system91裸聊视频檚 checks and balances, and he now faces both and charges for . Then the voters stepped in. In every presidential battleground state, all candidates who supported Trump91裸聊视频檚 and were running for statewide offices that had some oversight of elections.
The election infrastructure in the country with only scattered disruptions during the 2022 midterms. New voting laws, many of which are technical and incremental, had on actual voting.
91裸聊视频淰oters have stepped up to defend our democracy over the past few years,91裸聊视频� said Joanna Lydgate, chief executive officer of States United, which tracks those who refuse to believe in the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election. 91裸聊视频淪tate and local officials have done a tremendous job in protecting our free and fair elections.91裸聊视频�
So why all the worry? As Lydgate and anyone else who works in the pro-democracy field quickly notes, the big test 91裸聊视频� what Lydgate calls 91裸聊视频渢he Super Bowl91裸聊视频� 91裸聊视频� awaits in 2024.
Trump is running for the White House again and has been dominating the Republican primary as the first votes approach. He has called for pardoning those prosecuted for the Jan. 6, 2021, continues to falsely that was 91裸聊视频渟tolen91裸聊视频� and says he will use the federal government to seek revenge on his political enemies.
has used increasingly as he campaigns for the GOP nomination. If he wins, allies have been planning to so the bureaucracy doesn91裸聊视频檛 hinder Trump91裸聊视频檚 more controversial plans the way it did during his first term.
It91裸聊视频檚 gotten to the point that Trump was recently asked by conservative commentator Hugh Hewitt whether he planned to be a dictator: 91裸聊视频淣ot at all,91裸聊视频� Trump responded. 91裸聊视频淣o, I91裸聊视频檓 gonna rule as somebody that91裸聊视频檚 very popular with the people.91裸聊视频�
The 2024 election could cause all sorts of conflict, including scenarios that have notably not materialized despite widespread concern since 2020: violence at the polls, overly aggressive or breakdowns in the ballot count.
It seems unlikely, though, that Trump could return to the White House if he loses the election. That91裸聊视频檚 what he failed to accomplish in 2020, and he91裸聊视频檚 in a weaker position now.
His strategy then was to use Republican dominance in swing state legislatures, governorships and secretary of state offices to try to send to Congress even though Democrat and captured the presidency.
Since then, Republicans have lost two of those swing state secretary of state offices 91裸聊视频� in Arizona and Nevada 91裸聊视频� as well as the governor91裸聊视频檚 office in Arizona and control of the state legislatures in Michigan and Pennsylvania. In Congress, lawmakers closing some of in the counting of Electoral College votes that Trump tried to exploit to stay in office, making it harder to challenge state certifications on the House floor.
The upshot is it will be far harder for Trump to try to overturn a loss in 2024 than in 2020. The most likely way he returns to the White House is by winning the election outright.
91裸聊视频淚t91裸聊视频檚 not to say the risks are gone,91裸聊视频� said Rick Hasen, a law professor at the University of California, Los Angeles. 91裸聊视频淚t91裸聊视频檚 to say we91裸聊视频檝e successfully fought the last war.91裸聊视频�
History is full of examples of authoritarians who by winning a legitimate democratic election. But the risk to democracy of someone legitimately winning an election is different than the risk of a candidate trying to overturn an election loss.
When Trump began to he had won the 2020 election and urged Republicans to overrule their states91裸聊视频� voters and send his electors to Congress, every GOP official with the power to do that refused. The Republican leaders of the Michigan Legislature turned down his request to overrule voters. In Georgia, where the presidential ballots were counted and affirmed Biden91裸聊视频檚 win, Gov. Brian Kemp and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger earned Trump91裸聊视频檚 fury by rejecting him. So did then- and the Republican leaders of that state91裸聊视频檚 legislature.
Some Republicans did try to aid Trump. Texas Attorney General led a group of 17 GOP attorneys general in filing a lawsuit urging the U.S. Supreme Court to overturn the election. The high court swiftly Trump lost all but one of he and his allies filed in states to overturn the election, sometimes before judges he had appointed.
Then in November 2022, every swing state candidate who backed Trump91裸聊视频檚 effort to overturn his loss and who was running for a statewide office with a role in elections lost.
91裸聊视频淭here91裸聊视频檚 little doubt our democracy has gotten dinged up in a couple of moments of late, but we have decided we like it compared to the alterative,91裸聊视频� said Justin Levitt, who served as adviser for democracy and voting rights for two years in the Biden White House and is now a law professor at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles.
Election deniers have been able to make gains in one area 91裸聊视频� offices where they simply have to win a Republican primary. That91裸聊视频檚 meant they have taken power in local governments in many rural areas, often disrupting elections and embracing conspiracy theories or procedures such as hand-counting, which is less reliable and more time-consuming than tabulating thousands of votes on machines.
They also have been able to expand their power within Republican legislative bodies from statehouses to Congress. U.S. Rep. of Louisiana, who helped organize a brief supporting the quickly thrown-out lawsuit to overturn Biden91裸聊视频檚 victory, is now the House speaker.
If Johnson retains his speakership in January 2025, he could be in a position to disrupt certification of a Biden victory. Republicans more willing to subvert democracy also could have greater sway in state legislatures.
Then there91裸聊视频檚 the view of Trump backers. They report being even than those who oppose him. Normally members of the party out of power feels like democracy isn91裸聊视频檛 working as well for them, but Trump91裸聊视频檚 situation is different. He91裸聊视频檚 the first president in history to face prosecution and is promoting the narrative that he91裸聊视频檚 being persecuted by his likely general election opponent.
Trump says the criminal cases and separate attempts to bar him from the ballot under of the Constitution are a form of .
The Colorado Supreme Court found was sufficient grounds to under the , a ruling Trump91裸聊视频檚 campaign said it will appeal soon to the U.S. Supreme Court, where help form the conservative majority. On Thursday, struck Trump from that state91裸聊视频檚 primary ballot, becoming the first election official to take such action. Shenna Bellows suspended her ruling until Maine91裸聊视频檚 court system rules on the case.
While campaigning, Trump has adopted an 91裸聊视频淚91裸聊视频檓 rubber and you91裸聊视频檙e glue91裸聊视频� approach, accusing Biden of being
A more revealing argument comes from a contention one of the former president91裸聊视频檚 attorneys made before the Colorado Supreme Court. Scott Gessler, a former Colorado secretary of state, was by a liberal group to boot Trump from the ballot.
91裸聊视频淚f the entire nation chooses someone to be president, can that be an insurrection or is that a democratic choice?91裸聊视频� Gessler asked.
Gessler was addressing the hypothetical case of a former Confederate winning the White House in the 19th century, but it91裸聊视频檚 easy to see how this applies to the election before us.
Or, as Levitt said of American democracy: 91裸聊视频淚t is kind of up to us how resilient we make it.91裸聊视频�
Nicholas Riccardi, The Associated Press
